The New Abnormal

Even if we avoid a nuclear holocaust or a nasty cyber conflict, the Ukraine War will have transformed the world.

As the Ukraine War finishes up its fourth week, the radical indeterminacy and high drama of the initial phase is giving way to a grim new reality. Russia is clearly unable to achieve its initial military goals—toppling the government and subduing the whole country outright. Indeed, it seems less and less likely to be able to get the Ukrainians to accept…